Official Mossad documents have just been released by Iranian hackers, exposing Israel’s calculated plan to destroy the West through unchecked immigration and forced multiculturalism. It’s official: Israel wants blood on the streets of every Western [...]
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The vice president’s statement follows reports of a heated phone call between Trump and Netanyahu
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Analysts often argue that Trump has dug himself into a trap in Iran which he can’t get out of, which of course is true. But there is a bigger issue coming his way that could either pull him out of the trap altogether or force him to dig even deeper: Bibi.
The relationship between these two men is often written about at length by Western pundits, usually within the context of who controls whom. But never before will a relationship between a U.S. president and an Israeli leader be put to the test as it will between Trump and Bibi in the coming weeks.
Israel’s PM is in even more of a quagmire than Trump. Trump might lose the majority in both houses when the midterms come, but he will at least remain in office, albeit with impeachment proceedings probably underway. For Netanyahu, the clock is ticking at a much faster rate, and he may easily find himself out of office before November and probably living in exile to avoid corruption charges that have, until now, been placed on hold. Bibi has a number of quite seismic challenges ahead of him in the coming months, but chiefly how to keep the war in Lebanon going, which maintains a state of emergency in Israel and therefore justifies why his graft case can be put on hold. Lebanon is really key to his survival, although it’s hard to see how long he can keep the campaign there going while bombing Iran, while the U.S. sits on the sidelines and merely becomes a spectator. Quite apart from being gravely ill, Bibi does not have the political support in Israel now and would not win an election with his present coalition. The Likud party of today doesn’t have the support it had when Bibi took office, and most analysts agree that he can’t come back as PM when elections come around.
But there are other serious questions that present themselves to whoever is running Israel.
Israel simply cannot keep up the level of military engagement with either Iran or Lebanon. The resources are not there, and what is seriously worrying military chiefs who talk to Bibi is that the IDF is starting to fall apart, due to poor discipline, in-fighting, and generally low morale following Gaza and now Lebanon, where it is losing 10 men each day due to its fighting with Hezbollah, whose fighters are having great success with fibre optic drones. Desertions in the IDF are worrying defence chiefs, and it is becoming clear that Israel has overstretched itself and cannot possibly continue its operations that work to expand what has become known recently as ’greater Israel’ in Lebanon, Syria, and certainly not in Iran. There just aren’t the resources, and the price to pay for these ambitious endeavours is becoming clearer and clearer, nowhere more so than in Lebanon.
Military chiefs who met with Netanyahu recently pointed out that the IDF isn’t very strong internally and may well cease to function if desertions continue at the present rate and it continues to suffer the losses it is presently dealing with in Lebanon.
And yet, while in recent days we have seen Israel once again derail any chance of a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran, Netanyahu has no choice but to keep the IDF in Lebanon, presenting Trump with an even bigger headache than he originally had just a couple of weeks ago, when getting a deal done seemed simpler. He never factored in that Netanyahu would go rogue, following his ’order’ to him to stop fighting in Lebanon, which created huge protests on the streets in Tel Aviv. Interestingly, it is the Israeli public who are trapped in a delusional mindset where they believe the ability and resources of the state are unlimited and that Lebanon must be controlled.
And so the orders have stopped, as Trump doesn’t want to humiliate himself further when it becomes clear that Bibi is not taking them. In recent days, even mainstream media are commenting on the fact that the war has a new dynamic now, with most reporting that Israel is now on its own and that Iran has the upper hand with the West. The waiting game works for Iran, but it doesn’t work for either Trump or Netanyahu.
Trump’s even bigger headache with Iran is that Bibi continues now independently and that Iran hits U.S. allies in the region even harder. The response from Iran to strike Israel recently was unprecedented, in that it came after Tehran insisted that Israel end its campaign there, citing Lebanon as part of a broader ceasefire. Although it was hardly reported, the move by Iran to strike Israel, based on Israel attacking its ally, was unprecedented and a game changer.
One idea that Trump might be chewing over is to let Bibi run out of ammo. While Iran has not only restocked its missile supply, more importantly, it has also upgraded them technically speaking, and so the latest ballistic missiles have even greater capabilities. For Israel, one of the reasons why its public is on the streets calling for more war is that they are victims of their own propaganda. Israeli press recently reported that Iran’s arsenal was down, which, according to seasoned and well-informed analysts like Alistair Crooke, is not at all the case. The former UK diplomat who has spent time in Iran claimed recently in an interview that Iran has not only replaced its missiles lost previously but has shed a new skin, militarily speaking, and is now working with even more lethal weapons, with many of the missile bunkers operating perfectly after being repaired following the initial ’bunker buster’ operations of the U.S..
If Israel simply can no longer send salvos over to Iran at some point, Trump will regain the upper hand once again. The same argument goes for Lebanon, where the IDF is struggling to build and hold its own buffer zone — something that has never shown any signs, today or pre-2000, of success when it held land in the south of Lebanon up to the Litani River, in an operation originally called ’Grapes of Wrath’.
Trump might well factor in that his friend Bibi hasn’t got long in office, and it may well be the IDF’s losses in Lebanon that could be the key factor which brings people to the streets again to demand he step down. The morale of IDF troops is in fact paramount to the entire architecture of what Israel is attempting to do beyond its own borders and to Netanyahu’s survival. Opinion polls in the U.S. are suggesting that the American public are turning against Israel, which could be something Trump might capitalise on.
The danger for Trump is that Israel gets hit harder by both Hezbollah and Iran, and that he is put in a position where America is called upon to save this tiny Jewish state. It will be very hard for Trump to do nothing, given the history of how America has always played such a supporting role with its main ally in the region. The key will be how to save Bibi to save himself, if such a possibility presents itself. Bibi’s entire survival hangs by a thread and can collapse within a second if one IDF unit in Lebanon is slaughtered — which could trigger a mutiny within the military. And doesn’t Hezbollah know it.
Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su
So a $40 million U.S. Apache helicopter was targeted by a $20k Shaheed drone just over the Strait of Hormuz only one day after Iran and the death cult in West Asia were trading blows, making a mockery of that wobbly fiction, the “ceasefire”.
Talk about a massive cost benefit for Tehran: no less than 2000 to 1.
Tehran by principle does not deny military attacks. Yet in this particular case they have explicitly denied the downing of the Apache, pointing to a possible accident or technical failure. If the Shaheed had really struck the combat helicopter, the pilots would be dead – and not rescued by a U.S. unmanned boat.
Former U.S. Navy intel officer Malcolm Nance argues, “You don’t have mid-air collisions with FPV drones in the middle of the Strait of Hormuz, and it’s not intentional.”
This would mean that a drone under fiber optic guidance was able to disrupt the whole, humongous American electronic warfare apparatus – revealing a naked Pentagon incapable of articulating any response.
So even if this was not an accident, why did the IRGC deny it? Because that might have been a strategic test – not only of Iran’s dissuassive capability but also the degree of discombobulation to be inflicted on the enemy.
Predictably, under the guidance of the Emperor of Barbaria, the Empire of Piracy got back to bombing, leading to the inevitable Iranian response.
Within minutes of the start of the American attack, the IRGC struck an array of U.S. military bases across West Asia.
Al-Azraq Airbase in Jordan.
Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait.
The Fifth Fleet Base in Bahrain.
Isa Air Base in Bahrain.
Al-Azraq was hit by several long-range, solid fuel missiles pointing to four targets, including F-35 hangars and the Command and Control Center. The IRGC informed that 70% of all targets in those bases were successfully hit.
Al-Azraq – also known as Muwaffaq Salti – is a joint U.S.‑Jordan base about 100 km east of Amman. Only four months ago, satellite imagery revealed it was hosting more than 60 U.S. jets – including 30 F‑35s and 36 F‑15s. The base hosts the 332nd Air Expeditionary Wing (F‑15Es, MQ‑9 Reapers), with F‑35s rotating in. For all practical purposes, Jordan is now a legitimate target for the IRGC.
The new integrated map of regional deterrence
All of the above points to a radical rewriting of the rules of the game in the battlefield. Iran is announcing to West Asia and beyond that what in theory would be American military airspace is now Iran-controlled. More than that: Tehran is proving, in practice, that it can simultaneously conduct a war and impose its demands/run the clock on the negotiation table.
The new equation is stark: if you strike us and we strike you back, any attempt to retaliate against us will lead us to strike you 1.5 times harder, and soon 2 or 3 times harder. No more Mr. Nice Guy, in terms of allowing the enemy to indulge in the proverbial Hit and Run strategy.
From the U.S. side, other ominous elements are also in play. The Empire of Piracy is systematically targeting communication equipment along the Persian Gulf coastline. The objective is to cut off communication between southern units and the command centers up north. Even if this was part of the preparation for a – suicidal – ground invasion, as it was before the 2003 Iraq war, it makes no difference because of the Decentralized Mosaic strategy in effect across Iran since the decapitation strike of February 28.
Beyond all that, the commander of the IRGC’s Quds Force, Brigadier General Esmail Qaani, announced last week that a regional security belt is now in effect, from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea, managed by the Axis of Resistance.
So the Americans, whatever they come up with, now will be facing a strategic defensive line extending from the Strait of Hormuz to the Bab el-Mandeb.
Welcome to the new integrated map of regional deterrence. Direct translation: any U.S.-Israel attack against any single member of the Axis of Resistance will trigger a multi-front retaliation – from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea.
The big question now is whether this escalation – even if it is being framed by the Empire of Piracy as “punishment” for the Apache story – could instantly revert into a formal abandonment of the memorandum of understanding (MoU) framework on the negotiation table.
I discussed the state of the MoU negotiations this Tuesday in a new YouTube channel, Transition Protocol,
after our original Power Shit channel was cut off by Google without warning and with no appeal, only after less than a week on air, and broadcasting two world exclusives back to back.
Our intel sources in Pakistan, in very close contact with Iran and GCC players, are convinced the MoU is not dead. Even the Trump administration wants to preserve the underlying diplomatic framework, and not blow up the possible broader accords that have been taking shape.
That is: the Emperor of Barbaria, on the eve of a World Cup that his racist government policies are already ruining, will contain himself by emitting lots of noise and won’t walk away from the larger deal architecture.
That’s the dangerous crossroads we’re in now: sliding into the dark pit of a “deal off” territory, or still clinging to a pressure‑for‑deal scenario.
A formal announcement will be unveiled ‘shortly,’ the Republican president said
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