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India-Israel-UAE: An Alliance of Many Anxieties

The I2U2 — that much-heralded “West Asian Quad” of India, Israel, the UAE, and the United States — is gathering dust. Launched with fanfare in July 2022 and billed as a transformative framework for regional integration, it has produced little of consequence since its inaugural summit. Progress stalled through 2024, and its April 2025 revival […]
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On the New Foreign Tour of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi

The head of the Indian government paid visits to five countries – the UAE, the Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, and Italy – between 15 and 20 May. It is noteworthy that N. Modi set off on this trip immediately after the conclusion of the BRICS ministerial meeting in New Delhi, where India, as chair this year, […]
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The Contest to Redefine the Middle East

The Middle East is not being remade; it is being contested widely and publicly. The emerging alignment between Israel and the United Arab Emirates appears, at first glance, to signal a decisive geopolitical shift. Yet beneath the optics of normalization and wartime cooperation lies a more complex struggle: not over whether the region will change, […]
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The effects of the Iran War and the future of the UAE’s role in the oil market

The UAE’s official withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ on the eve of May 2026 is a “turn” in energy geopolitics, from the “institutional convergence” model to “strategic autonomy”. In recent years, the UAE has invested heavily (approximately $150 million) in expanding oil production, increasing its maximum capacity to about 5–6 million barrels per day. The […]
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UAE’s OPEC Exit Is No Cartel Killer—It’s a Calculated Power Shift

The United Arab Emirates’ decision to leave OPEC has sparked intense debate about the future of the global oil market and the stability of collective production management. What would an expert tell me in layman’s language, particularly about who or what really stands behind this decision? Reports of the UAE leaving OPEC are often portrayed […]
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